Investor Insight with Tony Alexander 

Crockers launched a survey of residential property investors, in June 2021, in conjunction with independent economist and all-round housing guru Tony Alexander. Over time the survey will allow us all to gain insights into how the sentiment of the property sector is changing over time, and how things are shifting with regards to intentions to buy, sell, change property type and so on.

Tony’s commentary on the real estate market is always valued and sought after, and each month we report back on the results with Tony's measured and data-driven commentary in our edition of Investor Insight that can be accessed below.

 

Tony Alexander Survey Report June 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report  June 2022

There remains no indication that rising interest rates are causing extra acceleration of debt repayment plans. Net intentions of buying more property have eased but remain consistent. The average term investors are fixing their mortgage interest rate for continues to shorten.

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Tony Alexander Survey Report May 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report  May 2022

Decline continues in the proportion of investors looking for a new property who will undertake the development themselves. Ease with which investors can find good tenants is slowly falling away. Interest in purchasing existing townhouses remains low, but demand for new ones is strong.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight April 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report April 2022

Demand for more property has eased slightly, but intentions to hold for the long-term remain unaffected by rising interest rates and falling house prices. There is no clear sign that rising interest rates are causing accelerating plans to pay down debt.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight March 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report March 2022

Reduced interest in selling and a small rise in plans to buy residential property. Investor interest in developing their own property has decreased slightly again. Demand for existing apartments has waned over the month. Rising interest rates have yet to produce a lift in mortgage repayment plans.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight February 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report February 2022

No upward trend in existing investors quitting the property sector is underway. Investor interest in undertaking their own property development is slowly waning. Borrowers are favouring a 2-year term for fixing their interest rate. Slightly more investors are showing concerns about house prices falling. 

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight January 2022

Tony Alexander Survey Report January 2022

Investors are shortening the average term for fixed rate mortgage. Banks have become less willing to advance extra funds. Preference of investors in new dwellings has shifted. Despite rising interest rates, slight trend towards accelerating debt repayment or moving from interest-only payments. 

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight November 2021

Tony Alexander Survey Report November 2021

Rising mortgage rates have yet to alter buying and selling intentions, and debt repayment is not being accelerated. However, more investors are looking to fix their interest rates for longer periods. One-quarter of investors planning a purchase will develop a property(s) themselves.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight October 2021

Tony Alexander Survey Report October 2021

Lockdown has not brought about a sustained deterioration in investor plans to purchase property. Rising interest rates have yet to incentivise selling by investors. Planned resource consent changes on intensification have yet to shift intentions more towards purchasing new builds. No trend changes in rents growth are apparent.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight September 2021

Tony Alexander Survey Report September 2021

Investors are showing slightly less inclination to buy again and marginally more inclination to sell. There is a slight easing trend in the average rent increase desired by investors. They perceive a slight toughening instance from their banks. There is no discernable change in sentiment arising from Auckland’s latest lockdown (despite over 50% of the responses being from that region).

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight August 2021

Tony Alexander Survey Report August 2021

Investor plans to sell their properties are declining. An even spread of preference for fixing mortgage interest rates. Despite expectations of higher mortgage rates, no lift in intentions to repay debt. 18% of investors say March 23 tax changes have encouraged them to sell, 12% say they will hold their properties. If mortgage rates were to rise 3%, only 8% of investor say they would be forced to sell property.

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Crockers Tony Alexander Investor Insight July 2021

Tony Alexander Survey Report July 2021

The key points of interest from July’s Investor Insight survey include the following: There is no strong impact as yet from discussions about rising mortgage rates. There has been a rise in the proportion of investors preferring to buy a new rather than existing property. Tax rule changes are a factor for about one-third of investors planning to sell.

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